I apologize for the late post! I have been away for spring break but now that we're back in school, we can get back into the swing of things!
The first goal for week 6 was to estimate the amount of water one household could collect per day (average) in 2020 and 2025 and compare that to the average amount of water we use today. Using the average roof size and predicted precipitation values from previous posts, I made calculations for each graphs (10 years, 15 years, and 30 years) by plugging those values into the same equation I used before (Rainfall x 0.623 x Roof Area x Runoff Coefficient). Now, of course, to get the average amount of rainfall the average household could collect per day, I divided the final number by 365 (I'm sorry, leap year babies).
Decade trend: 2020: 29.2 gals. 2025: 54.52 gals.
15 year trend: 2020: 83.56 gals. 2025: 90.16 gals.
30 year trend: 2020: 49.48 gals. 2025: 46 gals.
The average household could have collected 67.77 gallons!
I know to some, this data looks grim. But don't fret! I'm not your average doomsday hooligan yelling mumbo-jumbo on the street corner. I am hopeful. I believe that if we do make changes to our lifestyles (discussed below), things can turn out for the better.
Now, after contacting Robin Harrington, she informed me that in 2014, the average water consumption per capita per day, domestically, is 53 gallons. Clearly, from comparing the data above to our usage, it is not possible for the average household in Flagstaff to sustain their way of life solely on rainwater. There are several things people can do to change this. One is we can reduce the amount of water used per day (ideas posted previously). This can conserve the amount we have and get us through drier times with some security. We can also cut back on emissions (you too, volcanoes). Since greenhouse gas and fossil fuel emissions are linked to climate change, it makes sense to reduce the amount we produce if we want to change the environment. And this ranges from driving less to more sustainable energy sources. You can find more ideas here and here, and share some of your own in the comments!
Back on track, another goal for this week was to make a bibliography and summarize my lit review. I will list all the articles and websites I have gotten information (below). I hope to expand this list as I finish up my background research.
Back on track, another goal for this week was to make a bibliography and summarize my lit review. I will list all the articles and websites I have gotten information (below). I hope to expand this list as I finish up my background research.
- Seager, Richard, et al. Projections of declining surface-water availability of for the southwestern United States. Nature Climate Change. May 2013
- Vano, Julie., et al. Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow. American Meteorological Society. January 2014
- Garfin, Gregg (University of Arizona), Franco, Guido (California Commission). Climate Change Impacts in the United States. Chapter 20: Southwest. U.S. Global Change Research Program. 2014.
- Hereford, Richard. Climate Variation at Flagstaff, Arizona - 1950 to 2007. U.S. Department of the Interior; U.S. Geological Survey. 2007.
- Water in Israel-Palestine. Canadians for Justice and Peace in the Middle East. July 2010.
- 'UAE Water Consumption Highest in the World. Emirates 24/7 News. March 2013.
- Reclamation, Managing Water in the West: Colorado River Basin Water Supply and Demand Study - Executive Study. U.S. Department of the Interior - Bureau of Reclamation. December 2012.
- Sustainability Program Recommendations. The City of Flagstaff. October 2012.
- Climatography of the United States - Station: Flagstaff Pulliam Ap, AZ. U.S. Department of Commerce; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration; National Climatic Data Center. February 2004.
- Lavine, Jeremy. El NiƱo.
- Water Conservation. The Utilities Department - City of Flagstaff.
-Lia